Santamarina v Gutiérrez: the model read
Santamarina meet Gutiérrez in the Torneo Federal A 2nd round - 7 at Estadio Municipal General San Martín de Tandil, Tandil, Provincia de Buenos Aires. The model makes Santamarina the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% SAN, 34% draw, 24% GUT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Santamarina, 40% against 10%. Attacking output favors Santamarina on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 21%, over 2.5 goals around 19%. Draw no bet leans Santamarina at 63%; double chance reads Santamarina or draw 76%, Gutiérrez or draw 59%.
Santamarina arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 1 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Alvarado, L 0-1 @ Germinal de Rawson, L 0-2 v Villa Mitre, D 0-0 @ Circulo Deportivo.
Gutiérrez are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Guillermo Brown, L 0-2 @ San Martín Mendoza, L 1-2 v Circulo Deportivo, L 1-2 @ Estudiantes S.l..
Santamarina hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Santamarina 2-0 Gutiérrez.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
