Sport Boys v FBC Melgar: the model read
Sport Boys meet FBC Melgar in the Primera División clausura - 14 at Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao, Callao. The model makes FBC Melgar the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 32% SPO, 32% draw, 36% FBC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 55%. Attacking output favors FBC Melgar on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans FBC Melgar at 53%; double chance reads Sport Boys or draw 64%, FBC Melgar or draw 68%.
Sport Boys arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v ADT, L 0-1 @ Club Deportivo Los Chankas, W 1-0 v Comerciantes, W 3-0 v Academia Cantolao.
FBC Melgar are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Sporting Cristal, W 3-1 @ Cienciano, D 0-0 v UCV Moquegua, D 0-0 @ LDU de Quito.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output