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Euro Championship · Semi-finals · World

Netherlands v England

1-2Full time· SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund· Referee: F. Zwayer

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Netherlands v England: the model read

Netherlands meet England in the Euro Championship semi-finals at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund.

The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1730, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 75% against 80%. Attacking output favors Netherlands on expected goals, 2.6 to 2.3 per match.

Netherlands arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Morocco, W 3-1 @ Tunisia, W 5-1 v Sweden, D 2-2 v Japan.

England are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 14 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 6-4 @ France, L 1-2 v Argentina, W 2-1 @ Norway, W 3-2 @ Mexico.

England hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Netherlands 1-2 England.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Netherlands

WDWWD11-8-1

Scored 2.65 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • DHMorocco1-1
  • WATunisia3-1
  • WHSweden5-1
  • DHJapan2-2
  • WHUzbekistan2-1

England

WWWLW15-2-3

Scored 2.30 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 40%

  • WAFrance6-4
  • LHArgentina1-2
  • WANorway2-1
  • WAMexico3-2
  • WHCongo DR2-1

Head-to-head

3 meetings

NetherlandsrecordEngland
1
2
0 draws

Goals

4-4

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

Netherlands

Recent
LWL
Wins 1Goals 4-4

Biggest win 3-1

England

Recent
WLW
Wins 2Goals 4-4

Biggest win 2-1

  • Netherlands1-2England
  • Netherlands3-1England
  • Netherlands0-1England

Managers

R. Koeman

Netherlands · 62

In charge since 2023 · 11 teams managed

  • Barcelona2020–2021
  • Netherlands2018–2020
  • Everton2016–2017
  • Southampton2014–2016

T. Tuchel

Germany · 52

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • Bayern Munich2023–2024
  • Chelsea2021–2022
  • PSG2018–2020
  • Borussia Dortmund2015–2017

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.