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Copa America · Semi-finals · World

Argentina v Canada

2-0Full time· MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey· Referee: P. Maza

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Argentina v Canada: the model read

Argentina meet Canada in the Copa America semi-finals at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey.

Argentina rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1777 to 1592. Recent form leans Argentina, 86% against 65%. Attacking output favors Argentina on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.6 per match.

Argentina arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Spain, W 2-1 @ England, W 3-1 v Switzerland, W 3-2 v Egypt.

Canada are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ South Africa, L 1-2 @ Switzerland, W 6-0 v Qatar.

Argentina hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Argentina 2-0 Canada.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Argentina

WWWWL15-1-2

Scored 2.44 · Conceded 0.61 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 38.9%

  • LASpain0-1
  • WAEngland2-1
  • WHSwitzerland3-1
  • WHEgypt3-2
  • WHCape Verde Islands3-2

Canada

DWLWL9-8-3

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 0.60 · Clean sheets 60% · BTTS 30%

  • LHMorocco0-3
  • WASouth Africa1-0
  • LASwitzerland1-2
  • WHQatar6-0
  • DHBosnia & Herzegovina1-1

Head-to-head

2 meetings

ArgentinarecordCanada
2
0
0 draws

Goals

4-0

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Argentina

Recent
WW
Wins 2Goals 4-0

Biggest win 2-0

Canada

Recent
LL
Wins 0Goals 0-4
  • Argentina2-0Canada
  • Argentina2-0Canada

Managers

L. Scaloni

Argentina · 47

In charge since 2018

J. Marsch

USA · 52

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • Leeds United2022–2023
  • RB Leipzig2021–2021
  • Salzburg2019–2021
  • New York RB2015–2018

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.