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Euro Championship · Semi-finals · World

Spain v France

2-1Full time· Fußball Arena München, München· Referee: S. Vinčić

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Spain v France: the model read

Spain meet France in the Euro Championship semi-finals at Fußball Arena München, München.

The baseline ratings are close, 1758 to 1719, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Spain, 87% against 78%. Attacking output favors France on expected goals, 2.5 to 2.3 per match.

Spain arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 9 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Argentina, W 2-0 @ France, W 2-1 v Belgium, W 1-0 @ Portugal.

France are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 4-6 v England, L 0-2 v Spain, W 2-0 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ Paraguay.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Spain

WWWWW14-5-0

Scored 2.32 · Conceded 0.37 · Clean sheets 73.7% · BTTS 26.3%

  • WHArgentina1-0
  • WAFrance2-0
  • WHBelgium2-1
  • WAPortugal1-0
  • WHAustria3-0

France

WWWLL15-1-4

Scored 2.55 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • LHEngland4-6
  • LHSpain0-2
  • WHMorocco2-0
  • WAParaguay1-0
  • WHSweden3-0

Managers

S. Ndaba

South Africa

In charge since 2024

D. Deschamps

France · 57

In charge since 2012 · 4 teams managed

  • Marseille2009–2012
  • Juventus2006–2007
  • Monaco2001–2005

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.