Fiorentina v Empoli: the model read
Fiorentina meet Empoli in the Serie A regular season - 34 at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze. The model makes Fiorentina the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% FIO, 30% draw, 28% EMP.
Fiorentina rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1400. Recent form leans Fiorentina, 60% against 35%. Attacking output favors Fiorentina on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Fiorentina at 60%; double chance reads Fiorentina or draw 72%, Empoli or draw 58%.
Fiorentina arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 14 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ QPR, W 1-0 v Gubbio, W 8-1 v Fiorentina U20, D 1-1 v Atalanta.
Empoli are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Virtus Entella, D 2-2 @ Monza, W 1-0 v Avellino, L 0-2 @ Venezia.
Empoli hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Fiorentina 2-1 Empoli.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
