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Serie A · Regular Season - 29 · Italy

Fiorentina v Juventus

3-0Full time· Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze· Referee: M. Fabbri

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Fiorentina v Juventus: the model read

Fiorentina meet Juventus in the Serie A regular season - 29 at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze. The model makes Fiorentina the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% FIO, 30% draw, 33% JUV.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 57%. Attacking output favors Fiorentina on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 53%. Draw no bet leans Fiorentina at 52%; double chance reads Fiorentina or draw 67%, Juventus or draw 64%.

Fiorentina arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 14 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ QPR, W 1-0 v Gubbio, W 8-1 v Fiorentina U20, D 1-1 v Atalanta.

Juventus are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Standard Liege, D 0-0 @ FC Basel 1893, D 2-2 @ Torino, L 0-2 v Fiorentina.

Juventus hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Juventus 0-2 Fiorentina.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Fiorentina

WDWWL9-6-5

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • LAQPR2-3
  • WHGubbio1-0
  • WHFiorentina U208-1
  • DHAtalanta1-1
  • WAJuventus2-0

Juventus

WLDDW8-7-5

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 40%

  • WAStandard Liege1-0
  • DAFC Basel 18930-0
  • DATorino2-2
  • LHFiorentina0-2
  • WALecce1-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

FiorentinarecordJuventus
3
4
3 draws

Goals

11-9

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

30%

both scored

Over 2.5

20%

3+ goals

Fiorentina

Recent
WDWDLL
Wins 3Goals 11-9

Biggest win 3-0

Juventus

Recent
LDLDWW
Wins 4Goals 9-11

Biggest win 2-0

  • Juventus0-2Fiorentina
  • Fiorentina1-1Juventus
  • Fiorentina3-0Juventus
  • Juventus2-2Fiorentina
  • Juventus1-0Fiorentina
  • Fiorentina0-1Juventus
  • Juventus1-0Fiorentina
  • Fiorentina1-1Juventus
  • Fiorentina2-0Juventus
  • Juventus2-0Fiorentina

Managers

C. Prandelli

Head coach

In charge since 2020 · 3 clubs managed

  • Genoa2018–2019
  • Valencia2016–2016

I. Tudor

Head coach

In charge since 2025 · 9 clubs managed

  • Lazio2024–2024
  • Marseille2022–2023
  • Verona2021–2022
  • HNK Hajduk Split2020–2020

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.