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Copa America · Quarter-finals · World

Colombia v Panama

5-0Full time· State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Arizona· Referee: M. Mariani

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Colombia v Panama: the model read

Colombia meet Panama in the Copa America quarter-finals at State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Arizona.

The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 57%. Attacking output favors Colombia on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.

Colombia arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 5 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Switzerland, W 1-0 v Ghana, D 0-0 v Portugal, W 1-0 v Congo DR.

Panama are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v England, L 0-1 v Croatia, L 0-1 @ Ghana, D 1-1 v Bosnia & Herzegovina.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Colombia

WWDWD10-6-4

Scored 1.70 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 45%

  • DASwitzerland0-0
  • WHGhana1-0
  • DHPortugal0-0
  • WHCongo DR1-0
  • WAUzbekistan3-1

Panama

WDLLL8-7-5

Scored 1.55 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • LHEngland0-2
  • LHCroatia0-1
  • LAGhana0-1
  • DHBosnia & Herzegovina1-1
  • WHDominican Republic4-2

Managers

N. Lorenzo

Argentina · 59

In charge since 2022 · 2 teams managed

  • Melgar2021–2022

Thomas Christiansen

Spain · 52

In charge since 2020 · 5 teams managed

  • Union Saint-Gilloise2019–2020
  • Leeds United2017–2018
  • APOEL2016–2017
  • AEK Larnaca2014–2016

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.