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Euro Championship · Quarter-finals · World

Netherlands v Türkiye

2-1Full time· Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin· Referee: C. Turpin

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Netherlands v Türkiye: the model read

Netherlands meet Türkiye in the Euro Championship quarter-finals at Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin.

The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 75% against 70%. Attacking output favors Netherlands on expected goals, 2.6 to 2.0 per match.

Netherlands arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Morocco, W 3-1 @ Tunisia, W 5-1 v Sweden, D 2-2 v Japan.

Türkiye are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v USA, L 0-1 v Paraguay, L 0-2 @ Australia, W 2-1 @ Venezuela.

Netherlands hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Netherlands 2-1 Türkiye.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Netherlands

WDWWD11-8-1

Scored 2.65 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • DHMorocco1-1
  • WATunisia3-1
  • WHSweden5-1
  • DHJapan2-2
  • WHUzbekistan2-1

Türkiye

WWLLW13-2-5

Scored 2.05 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • WHUSA3-2
  • LHParaguay0-1
  • LAAustralia0-2
  • WAVenezuela2-1
  • WHFYR Macedonia4-0

Head-to-head

3 meetings

NetherlandsrecordTürkiye
2
1
0 draws

Goals

10-6

for each

Avg goals

5.3

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Netherlands

Recent
WWL
Wins 2Goals 10-6

Biggest win 6-1

Türkiye

Recent
LLW
Wins 1Goals 6-10

Biggest win 4-2

  • Netherlands2-1Türkiye
  • Netherlands6-1Türkiye
  • Türkiye4-2Netherlands

Managers

R. Koeman

Netherlands · 62

In charge since 2023 · 11 teams managed

  • Barcelona2020–2021
  • Netherlands2018–2020
  • Everton2016–2017
  • Southampton2014–2016

V. Montella

Italy · 51

In charge since 2023 · 8 teams managed

  • Adana Demirspor2021–2023
  • Fiorentina2019–2019
  • Sevilla2017–2018
  • AC Milan2016–2017

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.