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Euro Championship · Quarter-finals · World

Portugal v France

0-0Full time· Volksparkstadion, Hamburg· Referee: M. Oliver

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Portugal v France: the model read

Portugal meet France in the Euro Championship quarter-finals at Volksparkstadion, Hamburg.

The baseline ratings are close, 1638 to 1719, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 78%. Attacking output favors France on expected goals, 2.5 to 2.2 per match.

Portugal arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Spain, W 2-1 v Croatia, D 0-0 @ Colombia, W 5-0 v Uzbekistan.

France are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 4-6 v England, L 0-2 v Spain, W 2-0 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ Paraguay.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Portugal

DWDWL11-6-3

Scored 2.20 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • LHSpain0-1
  • WHCroatia2-1
  • DAColombia0-0
  • WHUzbekistan5-0
  • DHCongo DR1-1

France

WWWLL15-1-4

Scored 2.55 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • LHEngland4-6
  • LHSpain0-2
  • WHMorocco2-0
  • WAParaguay1-0
  • WHSweden3-0

Managers

Roberto Martínez

Spain · 52

In charge since 2023 · 5 teams managed

  • Belgium2016–2022
  • Everton2013–2016
  • Wigan Athletic2009–2013
  • Swansea City2007–2009

D. Deschamps

France · 57

In charge since 2012 · 4 teams managed

  • Marseille2009–2012
  • Juventus2006–2007
  • Monaco2001–2005

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.