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Copa America · Quarter-finals · World

Argentina v Ecuador

1-1Full time· NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas· Referee: A. Matonte

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Argentina v Ecuador: the model read

Argentina meet Ecuador in the Copa America quarter-finals at NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas.

Argentina rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1777 to 1581. Recent form leans Argentina, 86% against 65%. Attacking output favors Argentina on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.1 per match.

Argentina arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Spain, W 2-1 @ England, W 3-1 v Switzerland, W 3-2 v Egypt.

Ecuador are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Mexico, W 2-1 v Germany, D 0-0 v Curaçao, L 0-1 @ Ivory Coast.

Argentina hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Ecuador 1-0 Argentina.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Argentina

WWWWL15-1-2

Scored 2.44 · Conceded 0.61 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 38.9%

  • LASpain0-1
  • WAEngland2-1
  • WHSwitzerland3-1
  • WHEgypt3-2
  • WHCape Verde Islands3-2

Ecuador

WLDWL8-10-2

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 0.50 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 35%

  • LAMexico0-2
  • WHGermany2-1
  • DHCuraçao0-0
  • LAIvory Coast0-1
  • WHGuatemala3-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

ArgentinarecordEcuador
6
2
2 draws

Goals

17-7

for each

Avg goals

2.4

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

30%

3+ goals

Argentina

Recent
LDWWDW
Wins 6Goals 17-7

Biggest win 6-1

Ecuador

Recent
WDLLDL
Wins 2Goals 7-17

Biggest win 2-0

  • Ecuador1-0Argentina
  • Argentina1-1Ecuador
  • Argentina1-0Ecuador
  • Argentina1-0Ecuador
  • Ecuador1-1Argentina
  • Argentina3-0Ecuador
  • Argentina1-0Ecuador
  • Ecuador1-6Argentina
  • Ecuador1-3Argentina
  • Argentina0-2Ecuador

Managers

L. Scaloni

Argentina · 47

In charge since 2018

S. Beccacece

Argentina · 45

In charge since 2024 · 6 teams managed

  • Ecuador2023–2026
  • Elche2023–2024
  • Defensa y Justicia2021–2022
  • Racing Club2019–2021

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.