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Euro Championship · Quarter-finals · World

England v Switzerland

1-1Full time· Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf· Referee: D. Orsato

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Match analysisPre-match brief

England v Switzerland: the model read

England meet Switzerland in the Euro Championship quarter-finals at Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf.

The baseline ratings are close, 1730 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 80% against 73%. Attacking output favors England on expected goals, 2.3 to 2.2 per match.

England arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 14 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 6-4 @ France, L 1-2 v Argentina, W 2-1 @ Norway, W 3-2 @ Mexico.

Switzerland are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Argentina, D 0-0 v Colombia, W 2-0 v Algeria, W 2-1 v Canada.

England hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: England 1-1 Switzerland.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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England

WWWLW15-2-3

Scored 2.30 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 40%

  • WAFrance6-4
  • LHArgentina1-2
  • WANorway2-1
  • WAMexico3-2
  • WHCongo DR2-1

Switzerland

WWWDL11-7-2

Scored 2.20 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 60%

  • LAArgentina1-3
  • DHColombia0-0
  • WHAlgeria2-0
  • WHCanada2-1
  • WHBosnia & Herzegovina4-1

Head-to-head

4 meetings

EnglandrecordSwitzerland
2
0
2 draws

Goals

4-2

for each

Avg goals

1.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

25%

3+ goals

England

Recent
DWDW
Wins 2Goals 4-2

Biggest win 2-1

Switzerland

Recent
DLDL
Wins 0Goals 2-4
  • England1-1Switzerland
  • England2-1Switzerland
  • Switzerland0-0England
  • England1-0Switzerland

Managers

T. Tuchel

Germany · 52

In charge since 2025 · 6 teams managed

  • Bayern Munich2023–2024
  • Chelsea2021–2022
  • PSG2018–2020
  • Borussia Dortmund2015–2017

M. Yakin

Switzerland · 51

In charge since 2021 · 8 teams managed

  • Schaffhausen2019–2021
  • Sion2018–2019
  • Grasshoppers2017–2018
  • Schaffhausen2016–2017

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.