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Euro Championship · Quarter-finals · World

Spain v Germany

2-1Full time· Stuttgart Arena, Stuttgart· Referee: A. Taylor

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Spain v Germany: the model read

Spain meet Germany in the Euro Championship quarter-finals at Stuttgart Arena, Stuttgart.

The baseline ratings are close, 1758 to 1673, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Spain, 87% against 73%. Attacking output favors Germany on expected goals, 2.6 to 2.3 per match.

Spain arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 9 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Argentina, W 2-0 @ France, W 2-1 v Belgium, W 1-0 @ Portugal.

Germany are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Paraguay, L 1-2 @ Ecuador, W 2-1 v Ivory Coast, W 7-1 v Curaçao.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Spain

WWWWW14-5-0

Scored 2.32 · Conceded 0.37 · Clean sheets 73.7% · BTTS 26.3%

  • WHArgentina1-0
  • WAFrance2-0
  • WHBelgium2-1
  • WAPortugal1-0
  • WHAustria3-0

Germany

WWWLD13-3-4

Scored 2.65 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 60%

  • DHParaguay1-1
  • LAEcuador1-2
  • WHIvory Coast2-1
  • WHCuraçao7-1
  • WAUSA2-1

Managers

S. Ndaba

South Africa

In charge since 2024

J. Nagelsmann

Germany · 38

In charge since 2023 · 5 teams managed

  • Bayern Munich2021–2023
  • RB Leipzig2019–2021
  • Hoffenheim2016–2019
  • Hoffenheim U192013–2016

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.