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Euro Championship · Round of 16 · World

France v Belgium

1-0Full time· Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf· Referee: G. Nyberg

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Match analysisPre-match brief

France v Belgium: the model read

France meet Belgium in the Euro Championship round of 16 at Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf.

The baseline ratings are close, 1719 to 1673, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 78% against 75%. Attacking output favors Belgium on expected goals, 3.0 to 2.5 per match.

France arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 4-6 v England, L 0-2 v Spain, W 2-0 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ Paraguay.

Belgium are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Spain, W 4-1 @ USA, W 3-2 v Senegal, W 5-1 @ New Zealand.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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France

WWWLL15-1-4

Scored 2.55 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • LHEngland4-6
  • LHSpain0-2
  • WHMorocco2-0
  • WAParaguay1-0
  • WHSweden3-0

Belgium

DWWWL12-6-2

Scored 3.00 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 60%

  • LASpain1-2
  • WAUSA4-1
  • WHSenegal3-2
  • WANew Zealand5-1
  • DHIran0-0

Managers

D. Deschamps

France · 57

In charge since 2012 · 4 teams managed

  • Marseille2009–2012
  • Juventus2006–2007
  • Monaco2001–2005

R. Garcia

France · 61

In charge since 2025 · 10 teams managed

  • Napoli2023–2023
  • Al Nassr2022–2023
  • Lyon2019–2021
  • Marseille2016–2019

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.