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Euro Championship · Round of 16 · World

Germany v Denmark

2-0Full time· BVB Stadion Dortmund, Dortmund· Referee: M. Oliver

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Germany v Denmark: the model read

Germany meet Denmark in the Euro Championship round of 16 at BVB Stadion Dortmund, Dortmund.

The baseline ratings are close, 1673 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 73% against 65%. Attacking output favors Germany on expected goals, 2.6 to 2.0 per match.

Germany arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Paraguay, L 1-2 @ Ecuador, W 2-1 v Ivory Coast, W 7-1 v Curaçao.

Denmark are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Ukraine, D 0-0 @ Congo DR, D 1-1 @ Czechia, W 4-0 v FYR Macedonia.

Germany hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Germany 2-0 Denmark.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Germany

WWWLD13-3-4

Scored 2.65 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 60%

  • DHParaguay1-1
  • LAEcuador1-2
  • WHIvory Coast2-1
  • WHCuraçao7-1
  • WAUSA2-1

Denmark

LWDDW10-6-4

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 45%

  • WHUkraine2-1
  • DACongo DR0-0
  • DACzechia1-1
  • WHFYR Macedonia4-0
  • LAScotland2-4

Head-to-head

4 meetings

GermanyrecordDenmark
2
0
2 draws

Goals

6-3

for each

Avg goals

2.3

per game

BTTS

75%

both scored

Over 2.5

25%

3+ goals

Germany

Recent
WDDW
Wins 2Goals 6-3

Biggest win 2-0

Denmark

Recent
LDDL
Wins 0Goals 3-6
  • Germany2-0Denmark
  • Germany1-1Denmark
  • Denmark1-1Germany
  • Denmark1-2Germany

Managers

J. Nagelsmann

Germany · 38

In charge since 2023 · 5 teams managed

  • Bayern Munich2021–2023
  • RB Leipzig2019–2021
  • Hoffenheim2016–2019
  • Hoffenheim U192013–2016

B. Riemer

Denmark · 47

In charge since 2024 · 3 teams managed

  • Anderlecht2022–2024
  • København U192016–2018

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.