Montpellier v Le Havre: the model read
Montpellier meet Le Havre in the Ligue 1 regular season - 28 at Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, Montpellier. The model makes Montpellier the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% MON, 30% draw, 27% LE .
Montpellier rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1432. Recent form leans Montpellier, 57% against 42%. Attacking output favors Montpellier on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Montpellier at 61%; double chance reads Montpellier or draw 73%, Le Havre or draw 58%.
Montpellier arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 13 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 3-4 v Cannes, W 5-2 v Le Puy Foot, W 3-2 v Aubagne, D 1-1 @ RED Star FC 93.
Le Havre are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Amiens, W 2-0 @ Lorient, L 0-1 v Marseille, D 1-1 @ Lille.
Le Havre hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Montpellier 0-2 Le Havre.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
