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Premier League · Regular Season - 21 · Russia

Spartak Moscow v Zenit

2-1Full time· Lukoil Arena, Moskva· Referee: S. Ivanov

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Spartak Moscow v Zenit: the model read

Spartak Moscow meet Zenit in the Premier League regular season - 21 at Lukoil Arena, Moskva.

The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1696, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Zenit, 78% against 68%. Attacking output favors Zenit on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 36%. Draw no bet leans Zenit at 61%; double chance reads Spartak Moscow or draw 58%, Zenit or draw 73%.

Spartak Moscow arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Zenit, D 1-1 @ Rubin, W 2-1 @ Baltika, L 1-2 v FC Krasnodar.

Zenit are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Fakel, L 0-2 @ Spartak Moscow, D 0-0 @ Krylia Sovetov, W 3-0 v Dynamo.

Zenit hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Spartak Moscow 2-0 Zenit.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Spartak Moscow

WLWDW11-5-4

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 65%

  • WHZenit2-0
  • DARubin1-1
  • WABaltika2-1
  • LHFC Krasnodar1-2
  • WHFC Orenburg5-1

Zenit

LWDLW13-5-2

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 0.55 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 40%

  • WAFakel1-0
  • LASpartak Moscow0-2
  • DAKrylia Sovetov0-0
  • WHDynamo3-0
  • LHRodina Moskva1-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Spartak MoscowrecordZenit
2
3
5 draws

Goals

8-11

for each

Avg goals

1.9

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Spartak Moscow

Recent
WDDLDW
Wins 2Goals 8-11

Biggest win 2-0

Zenit

Recent
LDDWDL
Wins 3Goals 11-8

Biggest win 3-0

  • Spartak Moscow2-0Zenit
  • Zenit1-1Spartak Moscow
  • Zenit0-0Spartak Moscow
  • Zenit2-0Spartak Moscow
  • Spartak Moscow2-2Zenit
  • Spartak Moscow2-1Zenit
  • Spartak Moscow0-3Zenit
  • Zenit0-0Spartak Moscow
  • Zenit0-0Spartak Moscow
  • Spartak Moscow1-2Zenit

Managers

Juan Carcedo

Head coach

In charge since 2025

S. Semak

Russia · 49

In charge since 2018 · 2 teams managed

  • Ufa2016–2018
  • Zenit2014–2014

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.