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Euro Championship · Round of 16 · World

Switzerland v Italy

2-0Full time· Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin· Referee: S. Marciniak

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Switzerland v Italy: the model read

Switzerland meet Italy in the Euro Championship round of 16 at Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin.

The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1673, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 73% against 73%. Attacking output favors Switzerland on expected goals, 2.2 to 2.1 per match.

Switzerland arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Argentina, D 0-0 v Colombia, W 2-0 v Algeria, W 2-1 v Canada.

Italy are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Greece, W 1-0 @ Luxembourg, D 1-1 @ Bosnia & Herzegovina, W 2-0 v Northern Ireland.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Switzerland 2-0 Italy.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Switzerland

WWWDL11-7-2

Scored 2.20 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 60%

  • LAArgentina1-3
  • DHColombia0-0
  • WHAlgeria2-0
  • WHCanada2-1
  • WHBosnia & Herzegovina4-1

Italy

LWDWW13-3-4

Scored 2.15 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 55%

  • WAGreece1-0
  • WALuxembourg1-0
  • DABosnia & Herzegovina1-1
  • WHNorthern Ireland2-0
  • LHNorway1-4

Head-to-head

4 meetings

SwitzerlandrecordItaly
1
1
2 draws

Goals

3-4

for each

Avg goals

1.8

per game

BTTS

25%

both scored

Over 2.5

25%

3+ goals

Switzerland

Recent
WDDL
Wins 1Goals 3-4

Biggest win 2-0

Italy

Recent
LDDW
Wins 1Goals 4-3

Biggest win 3-0

  • Switzerland2-0Italy
  • Italy1-1Switzerland
  • Switzerland0-0Italy
  • Italy3-0Switzerland

Managers

M. Yakin

Switzerland · 51

In charge since 2021 · 8 teams managed

  • Schaffhausen2019–2021
  • Sion2018–2019
  • Grasshoppers2017–2018
  • Schaffhausen2016–2017

L. Spalletti

Italy · 66

In charge since 2023 · 10 teams managed

  • Napoli2021–2023
  • Inter Milan2017–2019
  • Roma2016–2017
  • Zenit2009–2014

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.