Skip to content
Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 32 · France

PAU v Metz

2-1Full time· Stade Nouste Camp, Bizanos· Referee: M. Lesage

Share
Match analysisPre-match brief

PAU v Metz: the model read

PAU meet Metz in the Ligue 2 regular season - 32 at Stade Nouste Camp, Bizanos.

The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Metz, 53% against 36%. Attacking output favors Metz on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.9 per match.

PAU arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Montpellier, D 1-1 v Sochaux, D 2-2 @ Rodez, L 0-1 v Nancy.

Metz are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ RED Star FC 93, W 4-1 v Rodez, D 1-1 @ Annecy, D 1-1 v Laval.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: PAU 2-1 Metz.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Your call

Predict the result and score. The crowd split feeds the Lemeister human-network signal.

Be the first to call this one.

Sign in to lock in your prediction. Sign in

Pro

The model forecast is a Pro feature.

Live scores, stats and commentary are always free. The glass-box model — probabilities, the edge against the market and the full match dossier — unlocks on Pro.

See plans

PAU

WLDDL5-3-10

Scored 0.94 · Conceded 1.89 · Clean sheets 27.8% · BTTS 38.9%

  • LAMontpellier0-1
  • DHSochaux1-1
  • DARodez2-2
  • LHNancy0-1
  • WADijon1-0

Metz

DDDWL7-7-6

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 75%

  • LARED Star FC 930-1
  • WHRodez4-1
  • DAAnnecy1-1
  • DHLaval1-1
  • DAGrenoble0-0

Head-to-head

4 meetings

PAUrecordMetz
1
1
2 draws

Goals

3-3

for each

Avg goals

1.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

25%

3+ goals

PAU

Recent
WDDL
Wins 1Goals 3-3

Biggest win 2-1

Metz

Recent
LDDW
Wins 1Goals 3-3

Biggest win 1-0

  • PAU2-1Metz
  • Metz0-0PAU
  • PAU1-1Metz
  • Metz1-0PAU

Managers

Thierry Debes

Head coach

In charge since 2025

L. Holtz

Luxembourg · 56

In charge since 2026 · 3 teams managed

  • Waldhof Mannheim2025–2026
  • Luxembourg2017–2026

Export artefact

Shareable artefact

Card

MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

Format

Unlock HD & unbranded
Share

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.