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Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 26 · France

PAU v Estac Troyes

0-2Full time· Stade Nouste Camp, Bizanos· Referee: E. Rosier

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Match analysisPre-match brief

PAU v Estac Troyes: the model read

PAU meet Estac Troyes in the Ligue 2 regular season - 26 at Stade Nouste Camp, Bizanos.

Estac Troyes rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1420. Recent form leans Estac Troyes, 70% against 36%. Attacking output favors Estac Troyes on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.9 per match.

PAU arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Montpellier, D 1-1 v Sochaux, D 2-2 @ Rodez, L 0-1 v Nancy.

Estac Troyes are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Lille, L 2-6 v Strasbourg, W 2-1 @ Lorient, D 0-0 v Paris FC.

Estac Troyes hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Estac Troyes 4-3 PAU.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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PAU

WLDDL5-3-10

Scored 0.94 · Conceded 1.89 · Clean sheets 27.8% · BTTS 38.9%

  • LAMontpellier0-1
  • DHSochaux1-1
  • DARodez2-2
  • LHNancy0-1
  • WADijon1-0

Estac Troyes

DDWLL12-4-4

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 55%

  • LALille0-2
  • LHStrasbourg2-6
  • WALorient2-1
  • DHParis FC0-0
  • DHPanetolikos1-1

Head-to-head

8 meetings

PAUrecordEstac Troyes
0
5
3 draws

Goals

7-16

for each

Avg goals

2.9

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

38%

3+ goals

PAU

Recent
LDLLDD
Wins 0Goals 7-16

Estac Troyes

Recent
WDWWDD
Wins 5Goals 16-7

Biggest win 3-0

  • Estac Troyes4-3PAU
  • PAU1-1Estac Troyes
  • PAU0-2Estac Troyes
  • Estac Troyes3-0PAU
  • Estac Troyes2-2PAU
  • PAU1-1Estac Troyes
  • PAU0-1Estac Troyes
  • Estac Troyes2-0PAU

Managers

Thierry Debes

Head coach

In charge since 2025

S. Dumont

France · 43

In charge since 2024 · 3 teams managed

  • Guingamp II2024–2024
  • Guingamp2021–2024

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.