Real San Joaquín v Union Espanola: the model read
Real San Joaquín meet Union Espanola in the Copa Chile regional quarter-finals at Estadio Municipal de San Joaquín, San Joaquín. The model makes Union Espanola the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 32% REA, 30% draw, 38% UNI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1504, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 50%. Attacking output favors Union Espanola on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 53%. Draw no bet leans Union Espanola at 54%; double chance reads Real San Joaquín or draw 62%, Union Espanola or draw 68%.
Real San Joaquín arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Colina, L 1-2 v Trasandino, D 0-0 @ Municipal Salamanca, W 6-1 @ Provincial Ovalle.
Union Espanola are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Recoleta, L 1-2 v O'Higgins, L 0-3 v Colo Colo, D 1-1 @ O'Higgins.
Union Espanola hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Union Espanola 3-0 Real San Joaquín.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
