Den Bosch v Helmond Sport: the model read
Den Bosch meet Helmond Sport in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 37 at Stadion De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch. The model makes Den Bosch the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% DEN, 30% draw, 27% HEL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Den Bosch, 45% against 29%. Attacking output favors Den Bosch on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Den Bosch at 61%; double chance reads Den Bosch or draw 73%, Helmond Sport or draw 57%.
Den Bosch arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ FC Eindhoven, W 3-1 v Quick Boys, L 0-3 @ Almere City FC, L 2-3 v Almere City FC.
Helmond Sport are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Al Taawon, L 0-2 v KVC Westerlo, D 1-1 @ Gemert, L 1-2 v AEK Larnaca.
Helmond Sport hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Helmond Sport 2-0 Den Bosch.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
