Newtown AFC v Caernarfon Town: the model read
Newtown AFC meet Caernarfon Town in the League Cup 2nd round at G.F. Grigg Latham Park, Ydrenewydd / Newtown, Powys.
The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Caernarfon Town, 57% against 47%. Attacking output favors Caernarfon Town on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 75%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans Caernarfon Town at 52%; double chance reads Newtown AFC or draw 63%, Caernarfon Town or draw 65%.
Newtown AFC arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 16 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Llanuwchllyn, D 1-1 v Guilsfield, W 5-0 v Penrhyncoch, W 3-0 @ Gresford Athletic.
Caernarfon Town are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-3 @ Holywell, W 2-0 @ Trefelin, W 3-0 v Colwyn Bay, L 1-2 v Penybont.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
