Haras El Hodood v Tersana: the model read
Haras El Hodood meet Tersana in the Second League - Play-offs promotion play-offs - 5 at Haras El Hodoud Stadium, Alexandria. The model makes Tersana the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 27% HAR, 33% draw, 41% TER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Tersana, 48% against 30%. Attacking output favors Tersana on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Tersana at 61%; double chance reads Haras El Hodood or draw 59%, Tersana or draw 73%.
Haras El Hodood arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Ghazl El Mehalla, L 0-3 v Petrojet, W 2-0 @ Kahraba Ismailia, D 0-0 v El Mokawloon.
Tersana are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ El Entag EL Harby, D 0-0 v Abu Qair Semad, D 2-2 @ Tanta SC, W 3-1 v Asyut Petrol.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
