Venezia v Palermo: the model read
Venezia meet Palermo in the Serie B promotion play-offs - semi-finals at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia. The model makes Venezia the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% VEN, 29% draw, 26% PAL.
Venezia rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1730 to 1592. Recent form leans Venezia, 83% against 63%. Attacking output favors Venezia on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Venezia at 63%; double chance reads Venezia or draw 74%, Palermo or draw 55%.
Venezia arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 19 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Galatasaray, W 8-0 v Vis Pesaro, W 4-2 v Dolomiti Bellunesi, W 2-0 v Palermo.
Palermo are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Iraklis 1908, D 2-2 v 1. FC Nürnberg, W 7-0 v Paradiso, L 0-1 @ FC Ingolstadt 04.
Venezia hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Venezia 2-0 Palermo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
