Skip to content
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 21 · Senegal

Stade de Mbour v Gorée

1-0Full time· Stade Caroline Faye, Mbour

Share
Match analysisPre-match brief

Stade de Mbour v Gorée: the model read

Stade de Mbour meet Gorée in the Ligue 1 regular season - 21 at Stade Caroline Faye, Mbour. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 24% STA, 42% draw, 33% GOR.

The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gorée, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Gorée on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 6%, over 2.5 goals around 3%. Draw no bet leans Gorée at 58%; double chance reads Stade de Mbour or draw 67%, Gorée or draw 76%.

Stade de Mbour arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Gorée, L 0-2 v Guédiawaye, L 0-2 @ Teungueth, W 2-0 @ DSC.

Gorée are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Stade de Mbour, D 1-1 @ Wally Daan, W 2-1 v AJEL, L 0-2 @ Ouakam.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Pro

The model forecast is a Pro feature.

Live scores, stats and commentary are always free. The glass-box model — probabilities, the edge against the market and the full match dossier — unlocks on Pro.

See plans

Stade de Mbour

DWLLD3-12-5

Scored 0.55 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 25%

  • DAGorée0-0
  • LHGuédiawaye0-2
  • LATeungueth0-2
  • WADSC2-0
  • DHWally Daan1-1

Gorée

DLWDD6-11-3

Scored 0.80 · Conceded 0.50 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 30%

  • DHStade de Mbour0-0
  • DAWally Daan1-1
  • WHAJEL2-1
  • LAOuakam0-2
  • DHHLM1-1

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.