Copa de la Liga Profesional · 1st Phase - Quarter-finals · Argentina

Argentinos JRS v Defensa Y Justicia

1-1Full timeApr 20, 2024, 2:30 PM ET· Estadio Florencio Solá, Lomas de Zamora, Provincia de Buenos Aires· Referee: A. Merlos

Match analysisPre-match brief

Argentinos JRS v Defensa Y Justicia: the model read

Argentinos JRS meet Defensa Y Justicia in the Copa de la Liga Profesional 1st phase - quarter-finals at Estadio Florencio Solá, Lomas de Zamora, Provincia de Buenos Aires.

Argentinos JRS rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1512. Recent form leans Argentinos JRS, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors Argentinos JRS on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.

Argentinos JRS arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Rosario Central, D 1-1 v Gimnasia L.P., D 0-0 @ Barracas Central, W 2-1 v Aldosivi.

Defensa Y Justicia are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Central Cordoba de Santiago, W 2-0 v Gimnasia M., L 0-1 @ Lanus, W 1-0 v Platense.

Defensa Y Justicia hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Defensa Y Justicia 1-0 Argentinos JRS.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Argentinos JRS

DWDDL12-4-4

Scored 1.40 · Conceded 0.95 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

LARosario Central0-1
DHGimnasia L.P.1-1
DABarracas Central0-0
WHAldosivi2-1
DALanus1-1

Defensa Y Justicia

WWLWD8-4-8

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 65%

DACentral Cordoba de Santiago2-2
WHGimnasia M.2-0
LALanus0-1
WHPlatense1-0
WABelgrano Cordoba2-1

Head-to-head

9 meetings

Argentinos JRSrecordDefensa Y Justicia

1 draw

Goals

10-12

for each

Avg goals

2.4

per game

BTTS

56%

both scored

Over 2.5

44%

3+ goals

Argentinos JRS

Recent

LWLDWL

Wins 2Goals 10-12

Biggest win 4-1

Defensa Y Justicia

Recent

WLWDLW

Wins 6Goals 12-10

Biggest win 2-0

Defensa Y Justicia1-0Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional ArgentinaEstadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
10/10/25, 3:15 PM ET
Argentinos JRS4-1Defensa Y Justicia
Liga Profesional ArgentinaEstadio Diego Armando Maradona
4/6/25, 7:15 PM ET
Defensa Y Justicia2-1Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional ArgentinaEstadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
11/7/24, 5:00 PM ET
Argentinos JRS1-1Defensa Y Justicia
Copa de la Liga ProfesionalEstadio Florencio Solá
4/20/24, 2:30 PM ET
Argentinos JRS3-1Defensa Y Justicia
Liga Profesional ArgentinaEstadio Diego Armando Maradona
6/23/23, 8:30 PM ET
Defensa Y Justicia2-1Argentinos JRS
Liga Profesional ArgentinaEstadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
9/15/22, 6:00 PM ET
Argentinos JRS0-1Defensa Y Justicia
Copa ArgentinaEstadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
7/6/22, 4:00 PM ET
Argentinos JRS0-1Defensa Y Justicia
Liga Profesional ArgentinaEstadio Diego Armando Maradona
3/14/22, 8:30 PM ET
Argentinos JRS0-2Defensa Y Justicia
Liga Profesional ArgentinaEstadio Diego Armando Maradona
10/9/21, 12:30 PM ET

Managers

N. Diez

Argentina · 48

In charge since 2024 · 2 teams managed

Atlanta2023–2023

T. Kohan

Argentina · 29

In charge since 2025 · 3 teams managed

Arsenal2024–2024
Ferro Carril Oeste2022–2022

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The match report

Match report

Argentinos JRS and Defensa Y Justicia drew 1-1 at Estadio Florencio Solá, Lomas de Zamora, Provincia de Buenos Aires.

How it unfolded: 11' R. Bogarín (DEF), 85' A. Rodríguez (ARG), 121' E. Aguilera (DEF pen), 122' N. Oroz (ARG pen), 128' K. López (DEF pen), 129' G. Verón (ARG pen), 132' D. Rodríguez (ARG pen).

The numbers, ARG to DEF: possession 68% to 32%; shots on target 8 to 3; total shots 23 to 5; corners 14 to 3.

Top match ratings: Nicolas Oroz (ARG) at 8.3, Cristopher Fiermarín (DEF) at 7.9.

Discipline: 2 yellow cards.

Changes off the bench: ARG 5, DEF 5.

The model leaned Argentinos JRS at 42% and the match went the other way. It priced this outcome at 30%, so the result sits within the model's own uncertainty, but it goes in the ledger as a miss.

Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was Argentinos JRS 1-0 Defensa Y Justicia; the match finished 1-1.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output and real match data

Match data

How it unfolded: 11' R. Bogarín (DEF), 85' A. Rodríguez (ARG), 121' E. Aguilera (DEF pen), 122' N. Oroz (ARG pen), 128' K. López (DEF pen), 129' G. Verón (ARG pen), 132' D. Rodríguez (ARG pen).
The numbers, ARG to DEF: possession 68% to 32%; shots on target 8 to 3; total shots 23 to 5; corners 14 to 3.
Top match ratings: Nicolas Oroz (ARG) at 8.3, Cristopher Fiermarín (DEF) at 7.9.
Discipline: 2 yellow cards.
Changes off the bench: ARG 5, DEF 5.

How the model graded

The model leaned Argentinos JRS at 42% and the match went the other way. It priced this outcome at 30%, so the result sits within the model's own uncertainty, but it goes in the ledger as a miss.

Score projection: the model's most likely scoreline was Argentinos JRS 1-0 Defensa Y Justicia; the match finished 1-1.

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Argentinos JRS v Defensa Y Justicia

Argentinos JRS v Defensa Y Justicia: the model read

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Argentinos JRS

Defensa Y Justicia

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