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Copa America · Group Stage - 3 · World

Costa Rica v Paraguay

2-1Full time· Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas· Referee: Y. Falcón

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Costa Rica v Paraguay: the model read

Costa Rica meet Paraguay in the Copa America group stage - 3 at Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 55%. Attacking output favors Costa Rica on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.2 per match.

Costa Rica arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ England, L 1-3 @ Colombia, L 0-5 v Iran, D 2-2 @ Jordan.

Paraguay are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v France, D 1-1 @ Germany, D 0-0 v Australia, W 1-0 @ Türkiye.

Costa Rica hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Costa Rica 2-1 Paraguay.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Costa Rica

DDLLL7-8-5

Scored 2.20 · Conceded 1.60 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 55%

  • LAEngland0-3
  • LAColombia1-3
  • LHIran0-5
  • DAJordan2-2
  • DHHonduras0-0

Paraguay

LWDDL8-6-6

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 45%

  • LHFrance0-1
  • DAGermany1-1
  • DHAustralia0-0
  • WATürkiye1-0
  • LAUSA1-4

Head-to-head

2 meetings

Costa RicarecordParaguay
1
0
1 draw

Goals

2-1

for each

Avg goals

1.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Costa Rica

Recent
WD
Wins 1Goals 2-1

Biggest win 2-1

Paraguay

Recent
LD
Wins 0Goals 1-2
  • Costa Rica2-1Paraguay
  • Costa Rica0-0Paraguay

Managers

Fernando Batista

Head coach

In charge since 2024

G. Alfaro

Argentina · 63

In charge since 2024 · 8 teams managed

  • Costa Rica2023–2024
  • Paraguay2023–2023
  • Ecuador2020–2023
  • Boca Juniors2019–2019

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.