Costa Rica v Paraguay: the model read
Costa Rica meet Paraguay in the Copa America group stage - 3 at Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 55%. Attacking output favors Costa Rica on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.2 per match.
Costa Rica arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ England, L 1-3 @ Colombia, L 0-5 v Iran, D 2-2 @ Jordan.
Paraguay are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v France, D 1-1 @ Germany, D 0-0 v Australia, W 1-0 @ Türkiye.
Costa Rica hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Costa Rica 2-1 Paraguay.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
