Potiguar Mossoró v Sousa: the model read
Potiguar Mossoró meet Sousa in the Serie D 1st phase - 12 at Estádio Edgar Borges Montenegro, Assú, Rio Grande do Norte. The model makes Potiguar Mossoró the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% POT, 36% draw, 26% SOU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Potiguar Mossoró, 55% against 40%. Attacking output favors Potiguar Mossoró on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 18%, over 2.5 goals around 12%. Draw no bet leans Potiguar Mossoró at 60%; double chance reads Potiguar Mossoró or draw 74%, Sousa or draw 62%.
Potiguar Mossoró arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ America-RN, L 1-3 v America-RN, W 1-0 v Laguna, D 0-0 @ Laguna.
Sousa are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v America-RN, L 0-2 @ Maguary PE, D 0-0 v Central SC, L 0-2 @ ABC.
Sousa hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sousa 1-0 Potiguar Mossoró.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
