Pouso Alegre v Maringá: the model read
Pouso Alegre meet Maringá in the Serie D 1st phase - 10 at Estádio Municipal Irmão Gino Maria Rossi, Pouso Alegre, Minas Gerais. The model makes Maringá the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 25% POU, 27% draw, 47% MAR.
Maringá rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1601 to 1420. Recent form leans Maringá, 63% against 35%. Attacking output favors Maringá on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 72%. Draw no bet leans Maringá at 65%; double chance reads Pouso Alegre or draw 53%, Maringá or draw 75%.
Pouso Alegre arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Madureira, L 1-2 v Portuguesa, L 0-2 @ Água Santa, L 0-2 v Portuguesa RJ.
Maringá are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Anápolis, W 4-0 v Volta Redonda, D 2-2 @ Inter De Limeira, D 1-1 @ Caxias.
Maringá hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Pouso Alegre 0-1 Maringá.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
