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MLS Next Pro · Regular Season - 41 · USA

North Texas v Minnesota United II

8-2Full time· Choctaw Stadium, Arlington, Texas· Referee: D. Klemp

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Match analysisPre-match brief

North Texas v Minnesota United II: the model read

North Texas meet Minnesota United II in the MLS Next Pro regular season - 41 at Choctaw Stadium, Arlington, Texas.

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 48%. Attacking output favors North Texas on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans North Texas at 51%; double chance reads North Texas or draw 66%, Minnesota United II or draw 64%.

North Texas arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Minnesota United II, D 0-0 v Austin II, L 0-3 v Portland Timbers II, W 3-1 v Tacoma Defiance.

Minnesota United II are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ North Texas, D 1-1 v The Town, L 1-2 v Portland Timbers II, L 0-1 @ Sporting KC II.

North Texas hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: North Texas 1-1 Minnesota United II.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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North Texas

LWLDD6-7-7

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 50%

  • DHMinnesota United II1-1
  • DHAustin II0-0
  • LHPortland Timbers II0-3
  • WHTacoma Defiance3-1
  • LAVentura County1-6

Minnesota United II

WLLDD7-5-8

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 55%

  • DANorth Texas1-1
  • DHThe Town1-1
  • LHPortland Timbers II1-2
  • LASporting KC II0-1
  • WAAustin II3-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

North TexasrecordMinnesota United II
7
2
1 draw

Goals

25-8

for each

Avg goals

3.3

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

North Texas

Recent
DWLWWW
Wins 7Goals 25-8

Biggest win 8-2

Minnesota United II

Recent
DLWLLL
Wins 2Goals 8-25

Biggest win 1-0

  • North Texas1-1Minnesota United II
  • Minnesota United II0-2North Texas
  • Minnesota United II1-0North Texas
  • Minnesota United II1-2North Texas
  • North Texas3-1Minnesota United II
  • Minnesota United II0-1North Texas
  • North Texas8-2Minnesota United II
  • North Texas4-0Minnesota United II
  • Minnesota United II0-3North Texas
  • Minnesota United II2-1North Texas

Managers

John Gall

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Fanendo Adi

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.