Lautaro de Buin v Provincial Ovalle: the model read
Lautaro de Buin meet Provincial Ovalle in the Segunda División regular season - 15 at Estadio Lautaro, Buín. The model makes Provincial Ovalle the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 32% LAU, 30% draw, 38% PRO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Lautaro de Buin, 35% against 25%. Attacking output favors Provincial Ovalle on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 53%. Draw no bet leans Provincial Ovalle at 54%; double chance reads Lautaro de Buin or draw 62%, Provincial Ovalle or draw 68%.
Lautaro de Buin arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 6 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 3-5 v D. Melipilla, L 0-2 @ Concón National, L 1-5 v Concepción, L 1-2 @ D. Puerto Montt.
Provincial Ovalle are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Colina, L 2-3 @ Santiago City, L 1-6 v Real San Joaquín, D 1-1 v Trasandino.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
