San Lorenzo v Estudiantes L.P.: the model read
San Lorenzo meet Estudiantes L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina 2nd phase - 21 at Estadio Pedro Bidegaín, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires. The model makes Estudiantes L.P. the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 28% SAN, 36% draw, 37% EST.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1601, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Estudiantes L.P., 63% against 55%. Attacking output favors Estudiantes L.P. on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 22%, over 2.5 goals around 15%. Draw no bet leans Estudiantes L.P. at 57%; double chance reads San Lorenzo or draw 63%, Estudiantes L.P. or draw 72%.
San Lorenzo arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Deportivo Riestra, L 0-1 v Deportivo Recoleta, D 2-2 @ Santos, D 1-1 @ River Plate.
Estudiantes L.P. are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Rosario Central, W 1-0 v Independiente Medellin, L 0-1 @ Flamengo, L 0-1 v Racing Club.
San Lorenzo hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 6 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: San Lorenzo 1-0 Estudiantes L.P..
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
