Union Santa Fe v Newells Old Boys: the model read
Union Santa Fe meet Newells Old Boys in the Liga Profesional Argentina 2nd phase - 20 at Estadio 15 de Abril, Ciudad de Santa Fe, Provincia de Santa Fe. The model makes Union Santa Fe the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% UNI, 31% draw, 27% NEW.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Union Santa Fe, 50% against 35%. Attacking output favors Union Santa Fe on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Union Santa Fe at 62%; double chance reads Union Santa Fe or draw 73%, Newells Old Boys or draw 57%.
Union Santa Fe arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Independiente, L 0-2 @ Belgrano Cordoba, W 2-1 @ Independ. Rivadavia, D 1-1 v Talleres Cordoba.
Newells Old Boys are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Velez Sarsfield, D 1-1 v Instituto Cordoba, W 3-2 @ Union Santa Fe, D 0-0 v San Lorenzo.
Newells Old Boys hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Union Santa Fe 2-3 Newells Old Boys.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
