Quilmes v Deportivo Maipu: the model read
Quilmes meet Deportivo Maipu in the Primera Nacional regular season - 36 at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes, Provincia de Buenos Aires. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 31% QUI, 35% draw, 34% DEP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1480 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 47% against 53%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Maipu on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 17%. Draw no bet leans Deportivo Maipu at 52%; double chance reads Quilmes or draw 66%, Deportivo Maipu or draw 69%.
Quilmes arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Midland, W 2-1 v Atlanta, L 1-3 @ Colegiales, W 1-0 v Gimnasia Y Tiro.
Deportivo Maipu are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v San Martin Tucuman, W 3-1 @ Atletico DE Rafaela, W 2-0 v Agropecuario, D 0-0 v Gimnasia Y Tiro.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Quilmes 2-1 Deportivo Maipu.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
