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Primera Nacional · Regular Season - 35 · Argentina

Tristan Suarez v Arsenal Sarandi

2-0Full time· Estadio 20 de Octubre, Ezeiza, Provincia de Buenos Aires· Referee: D. Ceballos

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Tristan Suarez v Arsenal Sarandi: the model read

Tristan Suarez meet Arsenal Sarandi in the Primera Nacional regular season - 35 at Estadio 20 de Octubre, Ezeiza, Provincia de Buenos Aires. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 29% TRI, 37% draw, 34% ARS.

The baseline ratings are close, 1565 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Arsenal Sarandi, 70% against 61%. Attacking output favors Arsenal Sarandi on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 20%, over 2.5 goals around 12%. Draw no bet leans Arsenal Sarandi at 54%; double chance reads Tristan Suarez or draw 66%, Arsenal Sarandi or draw 71%.

Tristan Suarez arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 2 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Nueva Chicago, L 0-1 @ Temperley, D 0-0 @ Chacarita Juniors, W 1-0 @ Deportivo Maipu.

Arsenal Sarandi are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Flandria, L 0-1 @ Argentino Quilmes, W 3-1 v Defensores Unidos, W 2-1 @ Comunicaciones.

Tristan Suarez hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Arsenal Sarandi 0-0 Tristan Suarez.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Tristan Suarez

DWDLW8-7-4

Scored 0.89 · Conceded 0.63 · Clean sheets 57.9% · BTTS 31.6%

  • WHNueva Chicago1-0
  • LATemperley0-1
  • DAChacarita Juniors0-0
  • WADeportivo Maipu1-0
  • DHAlmagro0-0

Arsenal Sarandi

DWWLW11-6-3

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 0.75 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 40%

  • WHFlandria1-0
  • LAArgentino Quilmes0-1
  • WHDefensores Unidos3-1
  • WAComunicaciones2-1
  • DHDock Sud0-0

Head-to-head

4 meetings

Tristan SuarezrecordArsenal Sarandi
3
0
1 draw

Goals

7-1

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

25%

both scored

Over 2.5

25%

3+ goals

Tristan Suarez

Recent
DWWW
Wins 3Goals 7-1

Biggest win 3-1

Arsenal Sarandi

Recent
DLLL
Wins 0Goals 1-7
  • Arsenal Sarandi0-0Tristan Suarez
  • Tristan Suarez3-1Arsenal Sarandi
  • Tristan Suarez2-0Arsenal Sarandi
  • Arsenal Sarandi0-2Tristan Suarez

Managers

J. Martínez

Argentina · 58

In charge since 2024 · 10 clubs managed

  • San Martín San Juan2024–2024
  • Alvarado2023–2023
  • Villa Dálmine2022–2023
  • Villa Dálmine2022–2023

D. Franco

Argentina · 56

In charge since 2025 · 15 clubs managed

  • Quilmes2024–2024
  • Almirante Brown2023–2023
  • Deportivo Binacional2023–2023
  • Gimnasia Jujuy2022–2023

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.