San Telmo v Atletico DE Rafaela: the model read
San Telmo meet Atletico DE Rafaela in the Primera Nacional regular season - 31 at Estadio 20 de Octubre, Ezeiza, Provincia de Buenos Aires. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 32% SAN, 37% draw, 31% ATL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 42% against 48%. Attacking output favors San Telmo on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 18%, over 2.5 goals around 10%. Draw no bet leans San Telmo at 51%; double chance reads San Telmo or draw 69%, Atletico DE Rafaela or draw 68%.
San Telmo arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Chaco For Ever, L 1-2 @ Ferro Carril Oeste, W 2-0 v Racing Cordoba, D 0-0 @ Central Norte.
Atletico DE Rafaela are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Temperley, L 1-3 v Deportivo Maipu, L 0-1 @ Almagro, D 0-0 @ Nueva Chicago.
San Telmo hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: San Telmo 3-2 Atletico DE Rafaela.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
