San Telmo v Arsenal Sarandi: the model read
San Telmo meet Arsenal Sarandi in the Primera Nacional regular season - 30 at Estadio 20 de Octubre, Ezeiza, Provincia de Buenos Aires. The model makes Arsenal Sarandi the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 25% SAN, 34% draw, 41% ARS.
Arsenal Sarandi rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1432. Recent form leans Arsenal Sarandi, 70% against 42%. Attacking output favors Arsenal Sarandi on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 24%, over 2.5 goals around 20%. Draw no bet leans Arsenal Sarandi at 62%; double chance reads San Telmo or draw 59%, Arsenal Sarandi or draw 75%.
San Telmo arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Chaco For Ever, L 1-2 @ Ferro Carril Oeste, W 2-0 v Racing Cordoba, D 0-0 @ Central Norte.
Arsenal Sarandi are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Flandria, L 0-1 @ Argentino Quilmes, W 3-1 v Defensores Unidos, W 2-1 @ Comunicaciones.
San Telmo hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: San Telmo 4-0 Arsenal Sarandi.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
