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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 50 · USA

Minnesota United FC v St. Louis City

4-1Full time· Allianz Field, Saint Paul, Minnesota· Referee: L. Szpala

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Minnesota United FC v St. Louis City: the model read

Minnesota United FC meet St. Louis City in the Major League Soccer regular season - 50 at Allianz Field, Saint Paul, Minnesota.

St. Louis City rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1456. Recent form leans St. Louis City, 70% against 45%. Attacking output favors St. Louis City on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans St. Louis City at 58%; double chance reads Minnesota United FC or draw 59%, St. Louis City or draw 71%.

Minnesota United FC arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 @ San Jose Earthquakes, L 1-2 v Atlanta United FC, D 1-1 @ Real Salt Lake, W 3-1 v Atlante FC.

St. Louis City are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Houston Dynamo, D 1-1 @ Sporting Kansas City, W 3-1 @ San Jose Earthquakes, D 1-1 v Real Salt Lake.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Minnesota United FC

DWDLW5-7-7

Scored 1.32 · Conceded 1.21 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 63.2%

  • WASan Jose Earthquakes5-1
  • LHAtlanta United FC1-2
  • DAReal Salt Lake1-1
  • WHAtlante FC3-1
  • DATigres UANL0-0

St. Louis City

WDWDW11-6-3

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 75%

  • WHHouston Dynamo2-1
  • DASporting Kansas City1-1
  • WASan Jose Earthquakes3-1
  • DHReal Salt Lake1-1
  • WHColorado Rapids1-0

Managers

Cameron Knowles

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Yoann Damet

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.