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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 39 · USA

Chicago Fire v Inter Miami

1-4Full time· Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois· Referee: P. Lauziere

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Chicago Fire v Inter Miami: the model read

Chicago Fire meet Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer regular season - 39 at Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois.

The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 63%. Attacking output favors Inter Miami on expected goals, 2.5 to 2.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 89%, over 2.5 goals around 93%. Draw no bet leans Chicago Fire at 54%; double chance reads Chicago Fire or draw 66%, Inter Miami or draw 60%.

Chicago Fire arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Monterrey, D 1-1 @ New York Red Bulls, W 2-1 @ Orlando City SC, W 2-1 v Portland Timbers.

Inter Miami are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Toronto FC, D 2-2 @ Philadelphia Union, L 1-4 @ Nashville SC, L 2-3 v Leon.

The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Inter Miami 3-2 Chicago Fire.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Chicago Fire

WWWDL12-2-6

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 80%

  • LAMonterrey1-2
  • DANew York Red Bulls1-1
  • WAOrlando City SC2-1
  • WHPortland Timbers2-1
  • WACruz Azul2-1

Inter Miami

LLLDL10-5-5

Scored 2.50 · Conceded 2.05 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 85%

  • LHToronto FC1-2
  • DAPhiladelphia Union2-2
  • LANashville SC1-4
  • LHLeon2-3
  • LHMonterrey1-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Chicago FirerecordInter Miami
4
4
2 draws

Goals

21-19

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

80%

both scored

Over 2.5

80%

3+ goals

Chicago Fire

Recent
LWDLLW
Wins 4Goals 21-19

Biggest win 4-1

Inter Miami

Recent
WLDWWL
Wins 4Goals 19-21

Biggest win 4-1

  • Inter Miami3-2Chicago Fire
  • Inter Miami3-5Chicago Fire
  • Chicago Fire0-0Inter Miami
  • Chicago Fire1-4Inter Miami
  • Inter Miami2-1Chicago Fire
  • Chicago Fire4-1Inter Miami
  • Inter Miami2-3Chicago Fire
  • Chicago Fire3-1Inter Miami
  • Inter Miami0-0Chicago Fire
  • Inter Miami3-2Chicago Fire

Managers

Mario Barcena

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Guillermo Hoyos Angel

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.