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Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 31 · USA

Chicago Fire v Philadelphia Union

4-3Full time· Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois· Referee: A. Ndiaye

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Chicago Fire v Philadelphia Union: the model read

Chicago Fire meet Philadelphia Union in the Major League Soccer regular season - 31 at Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois.

Chicago Fire rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1466. Recent form leans Chicago Fire, 65% against 45%. Attacking output favors Chicago Fire on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 74%, over 2.5 goals around 81%. Draw no bet leans Chicago Fire at 61%; double chance reads Chicago Fire or draw 71%, Philadelphia Union or draw 56%.

Chicago Fire arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Monterrey, D 1-1 @ New York Red Bulls, W 2-1 @ Orlando City SC, W 2-1 v Portland Timbers.

Philadelphia Union are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Austin, D 2-2 v Inter Miami, W 3-2 @ New York City FC, L 0-2 v Santos Laguna.

Philadelphia Union hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Philadelphia Union 1-2 Chicago Fire.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Chicago Fire

WWWDL12-2-6

Scored 2.00 · Conceded 1.40 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 80%

  • LAMonterrey1-2
  • DANew York Red Bulls1-1
  • WAOrlando City SC2-1
  • WHPortland Timbers2-1
  • WACruz Azul2-1

Philadelphia Union

WLWDD6-6-8

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.75 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 70%

  • DAAustin1-1
  • DHInter Miami2-2
  • WANew York City FC3-2
  • LHSantos Laguna0-2
  • WHNecaxa3-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Chicago FirerecordPhiladelphia Union
2
5
3 draws

Goals

13-23

for each

Avg goals

3.6

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

80%

3+ goals

Chicago Fire

Recent
WLDLLW
Wins 2Goals 13-23

Biggest win 2-1

Philadelphia Union

Recent
LWDWWL
Wins 5Goals 23-13

Biggest win 4-0

  • Philadelphia Union1-2Chicago Fire
  • Chicago Fire0-3Philadelphia Union
  • Philadelphia Union2-2Chicago Fire
  • Philadelphia Union4-0Chicago Fire
  • Chicago Fire0-1Philadelphia Union
  • Chicago Fire4-3Philadelphia Union
  • Philadelphia Union2-2Chicago Fire
  • Chicago Fire2-2Philadelphia Union
  • Philadelphia Union1-0Chicago Fire
  • Philadelphia Union4-1Chicago Fire

Managers

Mario Barcena

Head coach

In charge since 2026

B. Carnell

South Africa · 48

In charge since 2025 · 3 clubs managed

  • St. Louis City2023–2024
  • New York RB2020–2020

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.