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USL Championship · Regular Season - 32 · USA

Birmingham Legion v Tampa Bay Rowdies

2-0Full time· Protective Stadium, Birmingham, Alabama· Referee: L. Hernandez

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Birmingham Legion v Tampa Bay Rowdies: the model read

Birmingham Legion meet Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship regular season - 32 at Protective Stadium, Birmingham, Alabama.

Tampa Bay Rowdies rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1466. Recent form leans Tampa Bay Rowdies, 75% against 48%. Attacking output favors Tampa Bay Rowdies on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Tampa Bay Rowdies at 63%; double chance reads Birmingham Legion or draw 55%, Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw 74%.

Birmingham Legion arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Sporting JAX, L 2-3 @ Colorado Springs, W 1-0 v Rhode Island, L 1-2 @ Louisville City.

Tampa Bay Rowdies are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Detroit City, W 2-0 v Rhode Island, D 0-0 v Louisville City, W 3-0 @ Orange County SC.

Birmingham Legion hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Birmingham Legion 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Birmingham Legion

WLWLL5-9-6

Scored 1.35 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 70%

  • LHSporting JAX2-3
  • LAColorado Springs2-3
  • WHRhode Island1-0
  • LALouisville City1-2
  • WHFC Tulsa3-1

Tampa Bay Rowdies

WWDWL13-4-3

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 35%

  • LADetroit City0-1
  • WHRhode Island2-0
  • DHLouisville City0-0
  • WAOrange County SC3-0
  • WHLouisville City5-4

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Birmingham LegionrecordTampa Bay Rowdies
5
3
2 draws

Goals

17-14

for each

Avg goals

3.1

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Birmingham Legion

Recent
LLDWWL
Wins 5Goals 17-14

Biggest win 3-0

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Recent
WWDLLW
Wins 3Goals 14-17

Biggest win 4-1

  • Birmingham Legion0-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
  • Birmingham Legion1-4Tampa Bay Rowdies
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies2-2Birmingham Legion
  • Birmingham Legion2-0Tampa Bay Rowdies
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies0-1Birmingham Legion
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies6-4Birmingham Legion
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies0-3Birmingham Legion
  • Birmingham Legion1-0Tampa Bay Rowdies
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies0-2Birmingham Legion
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies1-1Birmingham Legion

Managers

Home coach unavailable.

Dominic Casciato

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.