EC Lemense v Catanduva: the model read
EC Lemense meet Catanduva in the Paulista - A3 1st phase - 15 at Estádio Municipal Bruno Lazzarini, Leme, São Paulo. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 30% EC , 35% draw, 35% CAT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Catanduva, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Catanduva on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 17%. Draw no bet leans Catanduva at 54%; double chance reads EC Lemense or draw 65%, Catanduva or draw 70%.
EC Lemense arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Inter de Bebedouro, L 0-2 v Inter de Bebedouro, D 1-1 v Grêmio Sãocarlense, L 0-2 @ ECUS.
Catanduva are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Paulista, W 2-1 @ Bandeirante SP, D 0-0 v Desportivo Brasil, L 0-2 v União São João.
Catanduva hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Catanduva 3-2 EC Lemense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
