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NPFL · Regular Season - 35 · Nigeria

Heartland v Doma United

3-1Full time· Dan Anyiam Stadium, Owerri

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Heartland v Doma United: the model read

Heartland meet Doma United in the NPFL regular season - 35 at Dan Anyiam Stadium, Owerri.

The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Heartland, 50% against 28%. Attacking output favors Heartland on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.6 per match.

Heartland arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Akwa United, L 0-1 @ Bendel Insurance, W 2-0 v Plateau United, L 0-1 @ Nasarawa United.

Doma United are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Sporting Lagos, D 1-1 v Abia Warriors, L 0-1 v Sunshine Stars, L 0-2 @ Katsina United.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Heartland 3-1 Doma United.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Heartland

DLWLW7-6-7

Scored 0.80 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 25%

  • WHAkwa United2-1
  • LABendel Insurance0-1
  • WHPlateau United2-0
  • LANasarawa United0-1
  • DHKwara United0-0

Doma United

LLLDW3-5-12

Scored 0.55 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 30%

  • WHSporting Lagos2-0
  • DHAbia Warriors1-1
  • LHSunshine Stars0-1
  • LAKatsina United0-2
  • LAHeartland1-3

Head-to-head

2 meetings

HeartlandrecordDoma United
1
1
0 draws

Goals

3-2

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Heartland

Recent
WL
Wins 1Goals 3-2

Biggest win 3-1

Doma United

Recent
LW
Wins 1Goals 2-3

Biggest win 1-0

  • Heartland3-1Doma United
  • Doma United1-0Heartland

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.

Heartland vs Doma United — NPFL forecast, preview & stats · Lemeister