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World Cup - Qualification Africa · Group Stage - 9 · World

Niger v Congo

3-1Full time· Stade du 4 Aout, Ouagadougou· Referee: T. Boubou

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Niger v Congo: the model read

Niger meet Congo in the World Cup - Qualification Africa group stage - 9 at Stade du 4 Aout, Ouagadougou.

The baseline ratings are close, 1471 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Niger, 47% against 32%. Attacking output favors Niger on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.7 per match.

Niger arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Mauritania, D 1-1 @ Benin, L 0-1 v Togo, D 0-0 @ Libya.

Congo are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Morocco, L 1-3 @ Niger, D 1-1 v Tanzania, L 0-2 @ Nigeria.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Niger

DDLDL5-7-6

Scored 0.83 · Conceded 1.11 · Clean sheets 38.9% · BTTS 33.3%

  • LHMauritania0-1
  • DABenin1-1
  • LHTogo0-1
  • DALibya0-0
  • DAGuinea1-1

Congo

DLDLL2-5-7

Scored 0.71 · Conceded 1.57 · Clean sheets 14.3% · BTTS 50%

  • LAMorocco0-1
  • LANiger1-3
  • DHTanzania1-1
  • LANigeria0-2
  • DASenegal1-1

Managers

I. Zakariaou

Niger

In charge since 2024 · 3 teams managed

  • Niger2023–2023
  • USGN2021–2023

I. N'Gata

France · 60

In charge since 2024 · 4 teams managed

  • Motema Pembe2019–2022
  • Evry2013–2014
  • Viry Châtillon2010–2012

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.