Ivory Coast v Burundi: the model read
Ivory Coast meet Burundi in the World Cup - Qualification Africa group stage - 7 at Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan. The model makes Ivory Coast the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 51% IVO, 30% draw, 19% BUR.
Ivory Coast rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1400. Recent form leans Ivory Coast, 73% against 29%. Attacking output favors Ivory Coast on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Ivory Coast at 73%; double chance reads Ivory Coast or draw 81%, Burundi or draw 49%.
Ivory Coast arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Norway, W 2-0 @ Curaçao, L 1-2 @ Germany, W 1-0 v Ecuador.
Burundi are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Morocco, W 4-0 v Chad, W 4-0 @ Chad, L 0-2 @ Gabon.
Ivory Coast hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Ivory Coast 1-0 Burundi.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
