Skip to content
World Cup - Qualification Africa · Group Stage - 7 · World

Ivory Coast v Burundi

1-0Full time· Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan· Referee: B. Karboubi

Share
Match analysisPre-match brief

Ivory Coast v Burundi: the model read

Ivory Coast meet Burundi in the World Cup - Qualification Africa group stage - 7 at Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan. The model makes Ivory Coast the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 51% IVO, 30% draw, 19% BUR.

Ivory Coast rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1400. Recent form leans Ivory Coast, 73% against 29%. Attacking output favors Ivory Coast on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Ivory Coast at 73%; double chance reads Ivory Coast or draw 81%, Burundi or draw 49%.

Ivory Coast arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Norway, W 2-0 @ Curaçao, L 1-2 @ Germany, W 1-0 v Ecuador.

Burundi are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Morocco, W 4-0 v Chad, W 4-0 @ Chad, L 0-2 @ Gabon.

Ivory Coast hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Ivory Coast 1-0 Burundi.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Pro

The model forecast is a Pro feature.

Live scores, stats and commentary are always free. The glass-box model — probabilities, the edge against the market and the full match dossier — unlocks on Pro.

See plans

Ivory Coast

WWLWL13-3-4

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 0.60 · Clean sheets 65% · BTTS 30%

  • LHNorway1-2
  • WACuraçao2-0
  • LAGermany1-2
  • WHEcuador1-0
  • WAPhiladelphia Union II2-0

Burundi

LLWWL4-2-11

Scored 0.88 · Conceded 1.29 · Clean sheets 35.3% · BTTS 5.9%

  • LAMorocco0-5
  • WHChad4-0
  • WAChad4-0
  • LAGabon0-2
  • LHKenya0-1

Head-to-head

3 meetings

Ivory CoastrecordBurundi
3
0
0 draws

Goals

6-0

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

33%

3+ goals

Ivory Coast

Recent
WWW
Wins 3Goals 6-0

Biggest win 4-0

Burundi

Recent
LLL
Wins 0Goals 0-6
  • Ivory Coast1-0Burundi
  • Burundi0-1Ivory Coast
  • Ivory Coast4-0Burundi

Managers

D. Belmadi

Algeria · 49

In charge since 2020 · 5 clubs managed

  • Algeria2018–2024
  • Al Duhail2015–2018
  • Qatar2014–2015
  • Al Duhail2010–2012
Away coach unavailable.

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.