Ferro Carril v Laureles: the model read
Ferro Carril meet Laureles in the Copa Uruguay 2nd preliminary round at Estadio Ernesto Dickinson, Salto. The model makes Ferro Carril the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% FER, 30% draw, 28% LAU.
Ferro Carril rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1547 to 1420. Recent form leans Ferro Carril, 61% against 38%. Attacking output favors Ferro Carril on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Ferro Carril at 61%; double chance reads Ferro Carril or draw 72%, Laureles or draw 58%.
Ferro Carril arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 @ Defensor Sporting, D 1-1 v Melo Wanderers, W 2-1 v Oriental, D 1-1 v Peñarol de Rivera.
Laureles are patchy: 1W-1D-2L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Bella Vista de Paysandú, W 3-0 v Huracán de Paysandú, L 1-5 @ Ferro Carril, L 0-2 v Colón.
Ferro Carril hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Ferro Carril 5-1 Laureles.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
