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World Cup - Women · Semi-finals · World

Spain W v Sweden W

2-1Full time· Eden Park, Auckland· Referee: Edina Alves Batista

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Spain W v Sweden W: the model read

Spain W meet Sweden W in the World Cup - Women semi-finals at Eden Park, Auckland.

Spain W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1799 to 1546. Recent form leans Spain W, 90% against 57%. Attacking output favors Spain W on expected goals, 3.2 to 1.6 per match.

Spain W arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 18 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 @ Iceland W, W 4-0 v England W, W 5-0 v Ukraine W, L 0-1 @ England W.

Sweden W are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Italy W, L 1-2 @ Denmark W, W 1-0 v Serbia W, L 1-2 v Denmark W.

Spain W hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Sweden W 0-1 Spain W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Spain W

WLWWW17-2-1

Scored 3.20 · Conceded 0.55 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 45%

  • WAIceland W6-1
  • WHEngland W4-0
  • WHUkraine W5-0
  • LAEngland W0-1
  • WAUkraine W3-1

Sweden W

DLWLD8-7-5

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 55%

  • DHItaly W2-2
  • LADenmark W1-2
  • WHSerbia W1-0
  • LHDenmark W1-2
  • DASerbia W0-0

Head-to-head

6 meetings

Spain WrecordSweden W
5
0
1 draw

Goals

16-7

for each

Avg goals

3.8

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

Spain W

Recent
WWWWWD
Wins 5Goals 16-7

Biggest win 4-0

Sweden W

Recent
LLLLLD
Wins 0Goals 7-16
  • Sweden W0-1Spain W
  • Spain W4-0Sweden W
  • Spain W5-3Sweden W
  • Sweden W2-3Spain W
  • Spain W2-1Sweden W
  • Spain W1-1Sweden W

Managers

Sonia Bermudez

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Johanna Almgren

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.