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World Cup - Women · Quarter-finals · World

Japan W v Sweden W

1-2Full time· Eden Park, Auckland· Referee: E. Staubli

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Japan W v Sweden W: the model read

Japan W meet Sweden W in the World Cup - Women quarter-finals at Eden Park, Auckland.

The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 57%. Attacking output favors Japan W on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.6 per match.

Japan W arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v South Africa W, W 5-0 v South Africa W, L 0-3 @ USA W, W 1-0 @ USA W.

Sweden W are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Italy W, L 1-2 @ Denmark W, W 1-0 v Serbia W, L 1-2 v Denmark W.

Sweden W hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Japan W 1-2 Sweden W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Japan W

LWLWL11-3-6

Scored 2.40 · Conceded 0.80 · Clean sheets 55% · BTTS 30%

  • LHSouth Africa W0-1
  • WHSouth Africa W5-0
  • LAUSA W0-3
  • WAUSA W1-0
  • LAUSA W1-2

Sweden W

DLWLD8-7-5

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 55%

  • DHItaly W2-2
  • LADenmark W1-2
  • WHSerbia W1-0
  • LHDenmark W1-2
  • DASerbia W0-0

Head-to-head

3 meetings

Japan WrecordSweden W
1
2
0 draws

Goals

5-6

for each

Avg goals

3.7

per game

BTTS

100%

both scored

Over 2.5

100%

3+ goals

Japan W

Recent
LLW
Wins 1Goals 5-6

Biggest win 3-1

Sweden W

Recent
WWL
Wins 2Goals 6-5

Biggest win 3-1

  • Japan W1-2Sweden W
  • Sweden W3-1Japan W
  • Japan W3-1Sweden W

Managers

Michihisa Kano

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Johanna Almgren

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.