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World Cup - Women · Quarter-finals · World

Spain W v Netherlands W

2-1Full time· Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington· Referee: S. Frappart

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Spain W v Netherlands W: the model read

Spain W meet Netherlands W in the World Cup - Women quarter-finals at Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington.

Spain W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1799 to 1627. Recent form leans Spain W, 90% against 68%. Attacking output favors Spain W on expected goals, 3.2 to 1.9 per match.

Spain W arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 18 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 @ Iceland W, W 4-0 v England W, W 5-0 v Ukraine W, L 0-1 @ England W.

Netherlands W are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Poland W, L 2-3 @ Republic of Ireland W, D 1-1 @ France W, W 2-1 v France W.

Spain W hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Spain W 3-0 Netherlands W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Spain W

WLWWW17-2-1

Scored 3.20 · Conceded 0.55 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 45%

  • WAIceland W6-1
  • WHEngland W4-0
  • WHUkraine W5-0
  • LAEngland W0-1
  • WAUkraine W3-1

Netherlands W

WWDLW11-5-4

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • WHPoland W3-1
  • LARepublic of Ireland W2-3
  • DAFrance W1-1
  • WHFrance W2-1
  • WHRepublic of Ireland W2-1

Head-to-head

3 meetings

Spain WrecordNetherlands W
3
0
0 draws

Goals

6-1

for each

Avg goals

2.3

per game

BTTS

33%

both scored

Over 2.5

67%

3+ goals

Spain W

Recent
WWW
Wins 3Goals 6-1

Biggest win 3-0

Netherlands W

Recent
LLL
Wins 0Goals 1-6
  • Spain W3-0Netherlands W
  • Spain W2-1Netherlands W
  • Spain W1-0Netherlands W

Managers

Sonia Bermudez

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Andries Jonker

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.